Saturday · May 16 · 6:10 PM ✦
RANGERS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Rangers
1
ASTROS
4
Our Pick
TEXAS RANGERS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Texas Rangers · Actual: 1–4 Astros
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rangers | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Texas Rangers | 60% | 40% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Texas Rangers | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 40% | 60% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Texas Rangers | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Texas Rangers | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Texas Rangers | 63% | 37% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Texas Rangers | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rangers this season
28–16
64% across 44 games
Astros this season
30–14
68% across 44 games