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Friday · May 15 · 7:09 PM ✦

RANGERS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Rangers 0
ASTROS 2

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Houston Astros · Actual: 0–2 Astros

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers Astros Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 58% 42% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 36% 64% 2–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 40% 60% 2–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 47% 53% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Texas Rangers 57% 43% — ✗
Random Forest Houston Astros 49% 51% — ✓
Consensus Houston Astros 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

87–68

56% across 155 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games