Wednesday · May 13 · 7:09 PM ✦
MARINERS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Mariners
3
ASTROS
4
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 3–4 Astros
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Seattle Mariners | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 44% | 56% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 58% | 42% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 57% | 43% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
55–31
64% across 86 games
Astros this season
52–34
60% across 86 games