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Thursday · May 14 · 1:10 PM ✦

MARINERS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

MARINERS 8
Astros 3

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 8–3 Mariners

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Astros Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 44% 56% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 65% 35% 4–3
Logistic Seattle Mariners 54% 46%
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 54% 46%
Consensus Seattle Mariners 54% 46% 4–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

28–17

62% across 45 games

Astros this season

30–14

68% across 44 games