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Tuesday · May 12 ✦

MARINERS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park.

Final

MARINERS 10
Astros 2

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 10–2 Mariners

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Astros Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 58% 42% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 56% 44% 5–3
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 62% 38% 5–4
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 49% 51% 4–4
Logistic Houston Astros 50% 50%
Random Forest Seattle Mariners 59% 41%
Consensus Seattle Mariners 55% 45% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

28–17

62% across 45 games

Astros this season

30–14

68% across 44 games