← Back to the recap

Wednesday · May 6 · 1:10 PM ✦

DODGERS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

DODGERS 12
Astros 2

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 12–2 Dodgers

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Astros Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 55% 45% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 65% 35% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 57% 43% — ✓
Random Forest Los Angeles Dodgers 59% 41% — ✓
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

100–59

63% across 159 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games