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Tuesday · May 5 · 7:10 pm ✦

DODGERS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Dodgers 1
ASTROS 2

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 1–2 Astros

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 69% 31% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 75% 25% 4–3
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 60% 40%
Random Forest Houston Astros 49% 51%
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 58% 42% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

23–21

52% across 44 games

Astros this season

30–14

68% across 44 games