Tuesday · May 5 · 7:10 pm ✦
DODGERS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Dodgers
1
ASTROS
2
Our Pick
LOS ANGELES DODGERS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 1–2 Astros
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Dodgers | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Los Angeles Dodgers | 69% | 31% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Los Angeles Dodgers | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Los Angeles Dodgers | 75% | 25% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Los Angeles Dodgers | 60% | 40% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Los Angeles Dodgers | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Dodgers this season
100–59
63% across 159 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games