Back to the recap

Monday · May 4 · 7:10 pm ✦

DODGERS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

DODGERS 8
Astros 3

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 8–3 Dodgers

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Astros Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 51% 49% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 51% 49% 4–3
Logistic Houston Astros 48% 52%
Random Forest Houston Astros 49% 51%
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 52% 48% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

23–21

52% across 44 games

Astros this season

30–14

68% across 44 games