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Monday · May 4 · 7:10 pm ✦

DODGERS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

DODGERS 8
Astros 3

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 8–3 Dodgers

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Astros Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 44% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 51% 49% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Houston Astros 48% 52% — ✗
Random Forest Houston Astros 49% 51% — ✗
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 52% 48% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

100–59

63% across 159 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games