Back to the recap

Sunday · April 26 · 1:10 PM ✦

YANKEES @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Yankees 4
ASTROS 7

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 4–7 Astros

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Astros Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 56% 44% 4–3
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 62% 38% 5–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 62% 38% 5–3
Logistic New York Yankees 56% 44%
Random Forest New York Yankees 58% 42%
Consensus New York Yankees 59% 41% 4–3
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

27–20

57% across 47 games

Astros this season

30–15

67% across 45 games