← Back to the recap

Saturday · April 25 · 6:10 PM ✦

YANKEES @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

YANKEES 8
Astros 3

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 8–3 Yankees

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 47% 53% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 36% 64% 3–5 ✗
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 45% 55% 5–5 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Logistic New York Yankees 51% 49% — ✓
Random Forest New York Yankees 64% 36% — ✓
Consensus New York Yankees 50% 50% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games