← Back to the recap

Friday · April 24 ✦

YANKEES @ ASTROS

Daikin Park.

Final

YANKEES 12
Astros 4

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✓ Correct

Projected: 5–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 12–4 Yankees

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Astros Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 62% 38% 5–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 65% 35% 5–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 60% 40% 5–4 ✓
Logistic Houston Astros 49% 51% — ✗
Random Forest New York Yankees 72% 28% — ✓
Consensus New York Yankees 60% 40% 5–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games