Back to the recap

Saturday · April 18 ✦

CARDINALS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park.

Final

CARDINALS 7
Astros 5

Our Pick

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 7–5 Cardinals

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 51% 49% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon St. Louis Cardinals 55% 45% 3–3
Logistic Houston Astros 50% 50%
Random Forest St. Louis Cardinals 79% 21%
Consensus St. Louis Cardinals 55% 45% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

28–18

61% across 46 games

Astros this season

30–15

67% across 45 games