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Thursday · April 16 · 7:10 PM ✦

ROCKIES @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

ROCKIES 3
Astros 2

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 3–2 Rockies

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rockies Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 40% 60% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 45% 55% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Colorado Rockies 53% 47% 4–3
Logistic Colorado Rockies 56% 44%
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 55% 45%
Consensus Houston Astros 49% 51% 3–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rockies this season

31–15

67% across 46 games

Astros this season

30–15

67% across 45 games