Wednesday · April 15 · 7:10 pm ✦
ROCKIES @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Rockies
1
ASTROS
3
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 1–3 Astros
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rockies | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Colorado Rockies | 60% | 40% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Colorado Rockies | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Colorado Rockies | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Colorado Rockies | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 29% | 71% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rockies this season
31–15
67% across 46 games
Astros this season
30–15
67% across 45 games