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Wednesday · April 1 · 1:10 PM ✦

RED SOX @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Red Sox 4
ASTROS 6

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 4–6 Astros

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 33% 67% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 56% 44% 3–3
Logistic Houston Astros 40% 60%
Random Forest Houston Astros 27% 73%
Consensus Houston Astros 42% 58% 3–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

32–13

71% across 45 games

Astros this season

31–15

67% across 46 games