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Tuesday · March 31 ✦

RED SOX @ ASTROS

Daikin Park.

Final

Red Sox 2
ASTROS 9

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 2–9 Astros

61%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 44% 56% 3–4
Logistic Houston Astros 33% 67%
Random Forest Houston Astros 32% 68%
Consensus Houston Astros 39% 61% 3–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

32–13

71% across 45 games

Astros this season

31–15

67% across 46 games