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Monday · March 30 · 7:10 pm ✦

RED SOX @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Red Sox 1
ASTROS 8

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 1–8 Astros

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 44% 56% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 40% 60% 4–5 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Houston Astros 44% 56% — ✓
Random Forest Houston Astros 44% 56% — ✓
Consensus Houston Astros 44% 56% 4–4 ✓
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

32–13

71% across 45 games

Astros this season

31–15

67% across 46 games