Sunday · September 27 · 3:11 PM ✦
PIRATES @ TIGERS
Comerica Park. · 76 degrees, sunny, wind 8 mph out to rf
Final
PIRATES
4
Tigers
2
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 2–3 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 4–2 Pirates
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Tigers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 36% | 64% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 33% | 67% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 60% | 40% | 3–2 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 38% | 62% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 69% | 31% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 46% | 54% | 2–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games