Saturday · September 26 · 1:11 PM ✦
PIRATES @ TIGERS
Comerica Park. · 70 degrees, sunny, wind 8 mph out to rf
Final
Pirates
3
TIGERS
4
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 3–4 Tigers
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Tigers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Detroit Tigers | 30% | 70% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games