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Friday · September 25 · 7:08 PM ✦

PIRATES @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 63 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph l to r

Final

Pirates 7
TIGERS 8

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 7–8 Tigers

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 60% 40% 5–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 58% 40% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 58% 42% — ✗
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 31% 69% — ✓
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 51% 48% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games