NATIONALS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 60 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph l to r

Final

Nationals 2

TIGERS 9

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 2–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 2–9 Tigers

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation	Pick	Nationals	Tigers	Projected	Result
Baseline	Detroit Tigers	35%	65%	2–4	✓
Pitcher-weighted	Detroit Tigers	36%	64%	2–3	✓
Platoon-weighted	Detroit Tigers	45%	55%	3–4	✓
Pitcher + Platoon	Detroit Tigers	36%	64%	2–4	✓
Logistic	Detroit Tigers	49%	51%	—	✓
Random Forest	Detroit Tigers	49%	51%	—	✓
Consensus	Detroit Tigers	42%	58%	2–4	✓

All 6 sims got it right.

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games