Tuesday · September 22 · 6:40 PM ✦
NATIONALS @ TIGERS
Comerica Park. · 64 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph l to r
Final
NATIONALS
3
Tigers
1
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 3–1 Nationals
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Tigers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 60% | 40% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Detroit Tigers | 37% | 63% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games