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Wednesday · September 23 · 1:12 PM ✦

NATIONALS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 65 degrees, sunny, wind 14 mph in from lf

Final

NATIONALS 4
Tigers 2

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Washington Nationals · Actual: 4–2 Nationals

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Washington Nationals 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 62% 38% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 45% 55% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Washington Nationals 53% 47% — ✓
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 47% 53% — ✗
Consensus Washington Nationals 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games