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Wednesday · September 9 · 2:50 PM ✦

TWINS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 79 degrees, cloudy, wind 10 mph r to l

Final

Twins 2
TIGERS 7

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 2–7 Tigers

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 55% 44% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 45% 55% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Minnesota Twins 58% 42% — ✗
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 49% 51% — ✓
Consensus Minnesota Twins 50% 50% 3–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games