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Tuesday · September 8 · 6:40 pm ✦

TWINS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from rf

Final

TWINS 3
Tigers 2

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 3–2 Twins

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 58% 42% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 47% 53% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 33% 67% 3–5 ✗
Logistic Minnesota Twins 52% 48% — ✓
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 30% 70% — ✗
Consensus Detroit Tigers 48% 52% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games