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Tuesday · August 25 · 6:40 pm ✦

RAYS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from rf

Final

Rays 1
TIGERS 4

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 1–4 Tigers

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 45% 53% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 35% 65% 3–5 ✓
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 61% 39% — ✗
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 31% 69% — ✓
Consensus Detroit Tigers 44% 55% 3–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

78–80

49% across 158 games

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games