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Wednesday · August 26 · 1:10 PM ✦

RAYS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 78 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph r to l

Final

RAYS 3
Tigers 0

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 3–0 Rays

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 36% 64% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 36% 64% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Detroit Tigers 47% 53% — ✗
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 42% 58% — ✗
Consensus Detroit Tigers 43% 57% 3–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

78–80

49% across 158 games

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games