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Monday · August 24 · 6:40 pm ✦

RAYS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 76 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 12 mph out to cf

Final

RAYS 4
Tigers 1

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 4–1 Rays

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 38% 62% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 49% 51% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 36% 64% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Detroit Tigers 48% 52% — ✗
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 38% 62% — ✗
Consensus Detroit Tigers 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

78–80

49% across 158 games

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games