Back to the recap

Thursday · August 13 · 1:10 PM ✦

GUARDIANS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 81 degrees, cloudy, wind 2 mph l to r

Final

Guardians 0
TIGERS 3

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 0–3 Tigers

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 58% 42% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 55% 45% 4–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 55% 45%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 29% 71%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 50% 50% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

61–62

50% across 123 games

Tigers this season

75–46

62% across 121 games