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Tuesday · August 11 · 6:40 pm ✦

GUARDIANS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from rf

Final

Guardians 4
TIGERS 6

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 4–6 Tigers

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 51% 49% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 62% 38% 5–3
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 42% 58% 4–4
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 59% 41%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 29% 71%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 49% 51% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

61–62

50% across 123 games

Tigers this season

75–46

62% across 121 games