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Wednesday · July 29 · 1:10 PM ✦

ORIOLES @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 79 degrees, sunny, wind 11 mph out to rf

Final

ORIOLES 10
Tigers 9

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 10–9 Orioles

62%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 20% 80% 3–5
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 33% 67% 3–5
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 38% 62% 3–4
Logistic Detroit Tigers 45% 55%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 57% 43%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 38% 62% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

67–54

55% across 121 games

Tigers this season

75–46

62% across 121 games