Wednesday · July 29 · 1:10 PM ✦
ORIOLES @ TIGERS
Comerica Park. · 79 degrees, sunny, wind 11 mph out to rf
Final
ORIOLES
10
Tigers
9
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 10–9 Orioles
62%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Tigers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 20% | 80% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 33% | 67% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 45% | 55% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 57% | 43% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games