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Saturday · July 25 · 1:10 PM ✦

ROYALS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 78 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph r to l

Final

ROYALS 3
Tigers 2

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 3–2 Royals

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 56% 44% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Kansas City Royals 52% 48% — ✓
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 32% 68% — ✗
Consensus Detroit Tigers 50% 50% 3–4 ✗
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games