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Saturday · July 25 · 1:10 PM ✦

ROYALS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 78 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph r to l

Final

ROYALS 3
Tigers 2

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 3–2 Royals

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 3–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 52% 48%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 32% 68%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 50% 50% 3–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

66–58

53% across 124 games

Tigers this season

75–46

62% across 121 games