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Monday · July 27 · 6:40 pm ✦

ORIOLES @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 14 mph out to lf

Final

ORIOLES 8
Tigers 5

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 8–5 Orioles

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 44% 56% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 60% 40% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 49% 51% 3–3
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 50% 50%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 49% 51%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 51% 49% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

67–54

55% across 121 games

Tigers this season

75–46

62% across 121 games