Sunday · July 26 · 1:42 PM ✦
ROYALS @ TIGERS
Comerica Park. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph r to l
Final
ROYALS
5
Tigers
4
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 5–4 Royals
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Royals | Tigers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Detroit Tigers | 39% | 61% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games