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Thursday · July 23 · 6:40 pm ✦

ROYALS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 73 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph in from lf

Final

Royals 3
TIGERS 4

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 3–4 Tigers

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 35% 65% 2–4
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 42% 58% 3–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 51% 49%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 52% 48%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 44% 56% 3–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

66–58

53% across 124 games

Tigers this season

75–46

62% across 121 games