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Friday · July 24 · 6:40 pm ✦

ROYALS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from cf

Final

Royals 1
TIGERS 2

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 1–2 Tigers

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 47% 53% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 62% 38% 4–3
Logistic Detroit Tigers 47% 53%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 36% 64%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 50% 50% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

66–58

53% across 124 games

Tigers this season

75–46

62% across 121 games