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Saturday · July 11 · 6:10 pm ✦

PHILLIES @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 82 degrees, clear, wind 9 mph in from cf

Final

PHILLIES 4
Tigers 2

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–5 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 4–2 Phillies

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 49% 51% 5–5 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 40% 60% 3–5 ✗
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 40% 60% 4–5 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 31% 69% 3–5 ✗
Logistic Detroit Tigers 50% 50% — ✗
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 31% 69% — ✗
Consensus Detroit Tigers 41% 59% 4–5 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

94–64

59% across 158 games

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games