Saturday · July 11 · 6:10 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ TIGERS
Comerica Park. · 82 degrees, clear, wind 9 mph in from cf
Final
PHILLIES
4
Tigers
2
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–5 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 4–2 Phillies
59%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Tigers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 49% | 51% | 5–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 40% | 60% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 40% | 60% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 31% | 69% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Detroit Tigers | 31% | 69% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 41% | 59% | 4–5 | ✗ |
None of the 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
79–45
64% across 124 games
Tigers this season
75–47
61% across 122 games