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Sunday · July 12 · 1:40 PM ✦

PHILLIES @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 83 degrees, sunny, wind 8 mph in from rf

Final

PHILLIES 5
Tigers 0

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 5–0 Phillies

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 40% 60% 4–5
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 40% 60% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 44% 56% 4–4
Logistic Detroit Tigers 40% 60%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 27% 73%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 40% 60% 3–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

79–45

64% across 124 games

Tigers this season

75–47

61% across 122 games