Back to the recap

Friday · July 10 · 6:40 pm ✦

PHILLIES @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 76 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph in from lf

Final

Phillies 2
TIGERS 10

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS, comfortably

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–8 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 2–10 Tigers

72%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 18% 82% 3–8
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 24% 76% 4–7
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 9% 91% 3–9
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 25% 75% 4–8
Logistic Detroit Tigers 48% 52%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 39% 61%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 28% 72% 4–8
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

79–45

64% across 124 games

Tigers this season

75–47

61% across 122 games