Friday · July 10 · 6:40 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ TIGERS
Comerica Park. · 76 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph in from lf
Final
Phillies
2
TIGERS
10
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS, comfortably
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–8 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 2–10 Tigers
72%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Tigers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 18% | 82% | 3–8 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 24% | 76% | 4–7 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 9% | 91% | 3–9 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 25% | 75% | 4–8 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Detroit Tigers | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 28% | 72% | 4–8 | ✓ |
All 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games