Back to the recap

Friday · June 26 · 6:40 pm ✦

ASTROS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 68 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph in from lf

Final

Astros 0
TIGERS 8

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 0–8 Tigers

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 49% 51% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 40% 60% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 51% 49% 4–4
Logistic Detroit Tigers 47% 53%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 36% 64%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 46% 54% 4–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

51–34

60% across 85 games

Tigers this season

55–28

66% across 83 games