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Saturday · June 27 · 1:12 PM ✦

ASTROS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph in from lf

Final

ASTROS 8
Tigers 6

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 8–6 Astros

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 45% 55% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 35% 65% 3–3
Logistic Houston Astros 52% 48%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 44% 56%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 47% 53% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

51–34

60% across 85 games

Tigers this season

55–28

66% across 83 games