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Thursday · June 25 · 6:40 pm ✦

ASTROS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 71 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph out to lf

Final

ASTROS 2
Tigers 1

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 2–1 Astros

63%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 40% 60% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 40% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 29% 71% 3–4
Logistic Detroit Tigers 38% 62%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 28% 72%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 37% 63% 3–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

51–34

60% across 85 games

Tigers this season

55–28

66% across 83 games