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Wednesday · June 10 · 6:40 pm ✦

TWINS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph r to l

Final

TWINS 6
Tigers 4

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 6–4 Twins

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 44% 56% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 44% 55% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 38% 62% 3–4
Logistic Minnesota Twins 57% 43%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 57% 43%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 47% 53% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

49–37

57% across 86 games

Tigers this season

55–29

65% across 84 games