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Wednesday · May 20 · 6:40 PM ✦

GUARDIANS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 56 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from lf

Final

GUARDIANS 3
Tigers 2

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, decisively

✓ Correct

Projected: 7–2 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–2 Guardians

78%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 85% 15% 6–2
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 85% 15% 7–3
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 91% 9% 7–2
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 91% 9% 7–2
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 62% 38%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 44% 56%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 78% 22% 7–2
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

22–24

48% across 46 games

Tigers this season

31–13

70% across 44 games