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Wednesday · May 20 · 6:40 PM ✦

GUARDIANS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 56 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from lf

Final

GUARDIANS 3
Tigers 2

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, decisively

✓ Correct

Projected: 7–2 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–2 Guardians

78%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 85% 15% 6–2 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 85% 15% 7–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 91% 9% 7–2 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 91% 9% 7–2 ✓
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 62% 38% — ✓
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 44% 56% — ✗
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 78% 22% 7–2 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games