← Back to the recap

Tuesday · May 26 ✦

ANGELS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park.

Final

ANGELS 10
Tigers 6

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 2–3 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 10–6 Angels

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Angels Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 44% 56% 2–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 40% 60% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 36% 64% 2–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 31% 69% 2–4 ✗
Logistic Detroit Tigers 41% 59% — ✗
Random Forest Los Angeles Angels 68% 32% — ✓
Consensus Detroit Tigers 41% 59% 2–3 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Angels this season

88–66

57% across 154 games

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games