Back to the recap

Tuesday · May 26 ✦

ANGELS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park.

Final

ANGELS 10
Tigers 6

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 2–3 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 10–6 Angels

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Angels Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 44% 56% 2–3
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 40% 60% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 36% 64% 2–4
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 31% 69% 2–4
Logistic Detroit Tigers 41% 59%
Random Forest Los Angeles Angels 68% 32%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 41% 59% 2–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Angels this season

53–33

62% across 86 games

Tigers this season

56–29

66% across 85 games