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Tuesday · May 19 ✦

GUARDIANS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park.

Final

GUARDIANS 4
Tigers 3

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 4–3 Guardians

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 45% 55% 3–4
Logistic Detroit Tigers 37% 63%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 45% 55%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 45% 55% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

22–24

48% across 46 games

Tigers this season

31–13

70% across 44 games