Monday · May 18 · 7:23 PM ✦
GUARDIANS @ TIGERS
Comerica Park. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 12 mph out to lf
Final
GUARDIANS
8
Tigers
2
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 8–2 Guardians
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Guardians | Tigers | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cleveland Guardians | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Detroit Tigers | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Guardians this season
22–24
48% across 46 games
Tigers this season
31–13
70% across 44 games