Back to the recap

Sunday · May 17 · 1:41 PM ✦

BLUE JAYS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 83 degrees, sunny, wind 8 mph in from rf

Final

BLUE JAYS 4
Tigers 1

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 4–1 Blue Jays

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 33% 67% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 44% 56% 3–4
Logistic Detroit Tigers 49% 51%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 57% 43%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 45% 55% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

20–25

44% across 45 games

Tigers this season

31–13

70% across 44 games