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Friday · May 15 · 6:46 PM ✦

BLUE JAYS @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 68 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph in from rf

Final

Blue Jays 2
TIGERS 3

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 2–3 Tigers

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 69% 31% 4–2
Logistic Toronto Blue Jays 52% 48%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 67% 33%
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 57% 43% 4–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

20–25

44% across 45 games

Tigers this season

31–13

70% across 44 games