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Tuesday · May 5 · 6:40 pm ✦

RED SOX @ TIGERS

Comerica Park. · 50 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to lf

Final

RED SOX 10
Tigers 3

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 10–3 Red Sox

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Tigers Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 42% 58% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 55% 45% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 45% 55% 3–3
Logistic Boston Red Sox 51% 49%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 64% 36%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

32–12

73% across 44 games

Tigers this season

31–13

70% across 44 games